PALESTINE

Sat 02 Aug 2025 12:21 pm - Jerusalem Time

A survey reveals a significant change in the map of Israeli parties


A New Survey Reveals Significant Changes in the Israeli Political Landscape

The results of an opinion poll conducted by Maariv newspaper in collaboration with the "Lazar Research Center" indicate that the "Blue and White" party continues to decline, and its leader Benny Gantz is no longer in the running for parliamentary seats. The poll indicated that the ruling coalition retains 49 seats, while the opposition secures 61 seats, reflecting a delicate balance in the Israeli political landscape.

The survey was conducted on July 30 and 31, with the participation of 511 individuals representing a representative sample of the adult population, with a margin of error of 4.4 percent. The results showed that the distribution of seats would be as follows: the Likud party receives 25 seats, a new party led by Naftali Bennett gets 23, while the Democratic party secures 10 seats. The Yisrael Beiteinu and Shas parties will each receive 9 seats, with the "United Torah Judaism" party following with seats, while a new party led by Eizenkot is expected to receive 8 seats.

In another context, the Yesh Atid party is expected to receive 7 seats, the Otzma Yehudit party 7, in addition to 6 seats for the Ra'am party. The Blue and White party and Hadash-Ta'al will only receive 4 seats each, while the National Democratic Assembly and the Religious Zionism parties failed to surpass the electoral threshold, weakening their chances for parliamentary representation.

In another scenario, a new party representing the "burdened public" is expected to emerge, expressing the increasing exhaustion of fighters and demands for a fairer distribution of military service. In this scenario, the party would receive 13 seats, becoming the third largest party after Likud and Naftali Bennett, attracting votes from the opposition and undecided voters, as well as some votes from Likud.

According to the results, this scenario could lead to an increase in the number of opposition seats to 66, while the coalition would decline to only 44 seats, reflecting potential changes in the balance of political power within Israel.

Regarding the situation in the Gaza Strip, the survey showed that 47 percent of Israelis believe that the famine in the sector is a "Hamas deception," while 41 percent see it as a real humanitarian crisis, with 23 percent expressing concern about the crisis, while 18 percent do not care. These results come amid rising tensions and international disputes over the situation in Gaza.

On the subject of anti-Semitism, the survey indicated that 61 percent of Israelis fear being harmed when traveling to Europe, compared to 31 percent who do not feel afraid, and 8 percent who do not know their reaction. This reflects growing fears of rising manifestations of hatred and hostility against Jews abroad, especially amid ongoing international tensions.

This survey comes amid a stalemate in negotiations for a prisoner exchange deal, increasing international criticism of Israel, in addition to the field developments in the Gaza Strip, complicating the political and party landscape within the Jewish state. It is noted that the current Knesset term, which lasts four years, will end at the end of next year, with no clear intention for early elections, despite internal and external political pressures.

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A survey reveals a significant change in the map of Israeli parties

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