Gaza Agreement File Returns to the Forefront of International Decision-Making Again

In a moment of extreme political and security sensitivity, the Gaza file returns to the forefront of international decision-making with the approach of a meeting described as 'decisive' between Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and US President Donald Trump, amid divergences in positions between Washington and Tel Aviv regarding the future of the ceasefire agreement and the transition to its second phase.

Between American pressures to consolidate the calm and launch a political path that includes a technocratic government, an international force, and gradual disarmament, and Israeli insistence on stringent security conditions and using escalation as a pressure card, the Gaza Strip stands before two contradictory fates: either consolidating a fragile political path or sliding again towards confrontation, awaiting what the decisions in Florida will yield.

The United States appears, according to what has leaked from positions within the White House, more eager than Israel to push the agreement forward. There is a clear sense of frustration among Trump's team with the performance of the Israeli government, as reported by Israeli Channel 12 from White House officials.

The channel also quoted these officials as saying that the American administration believes Netanyahu is placing political and security obstacles that prevent moving to the next stage, whether through statements rejecting withdrawal from the Gaza Strip or through the field behavior of the Israeli army, which is viewed Americanly as threatening the ceasefire.

In contrast, Netanyahu seeks to readjust the agreement's path to serve his internal and security priorities, benefiting from Trump's sensitivity towards Israeli security issues. While primarily betting on convincing the American president to adopt his tough stance on disarming 'Hamas' and rejecting any loose formulations.

However, this bet collides with the reality of a clear gap between Netanyahu on one hand and Trump's key advisors Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff on the other. According to the Israeli channel, what Washington is proposing today goes beyond mere ceasefire to a comprehensive vision that includes establishing a peace council chaired by Trump and forming a Palestinian technocratic government to manage civil administration in Gaza, in addition to deploying an international stabilization force.

This vision enjoys Egyptian, Qatari, and Turkish support, but faces deep Israeli reservations, especially regarding the Turkish role and the mechanism for dealing with weapons, and even towards the idea of a Palestinian government relatively independent of direct Israeli control.

Since the American administration realizes that the success of any political path in Gaza depends on providing a minimum of humanitarian and security stability, the pressures that will be exerted on Netanyahu in the Florida meeting will include a clear commitment to ceasefire, protecting civilians, and facilitating the entry of aid, according to what Israeli media report from officials in Trump's administration.

Therefore, the future of the Gaza agreement will not be decided only in the field, which remains susceptible to daily Israeli violations, but at the political table in Washington. And the meeting in Florida may outline the general framework for the next phase: either a gradual political path fraught with challenges, or a return to the repeated cycle of Israeli aggression, with all its repercussions on Gaza and the region as a whole.