Ma'arif: "Israel" is surrounded by increasing strategic threats while being preoccupied in Gaza.

Major "Reserve" Isaac Brik in the Israeli occupation army wrote an analytical article warning anyone who ignores reality and adopts the positions of the occupation's Prime Minister Benjamin without criticism.

Major Brik stated that the aim of his article is to paint a comprehensive picture of the strategic risks facing Israel from the hostile countries surrounding it, and to highlight the threats that many still ignore, warning that the assumption of complete victory over adversaries like Hezbollah, Iran, Syria, or Hamas, or considering stability with Egypt and Jordan as a given, does not reflect the complexity of reality.

According to Brik in his article, acting loudly and neglecting to listen distances one from a fundamental understanding of the challenges, and that speaking less and listening more could lead to more realistic security assessments.

Brik says that Hezbollah continues to strengthen and enhance its capabilities despite the damage it has sustained, and that the current Secretary-General Naeem Qassem opposes disarming the organization.

He mentioned that the Lebanese government, under the influence of American pressure, approved in August 2025 a timeline for disarming Hezbollah and transferring weapons to the Lebanese army, but Hezbollah rejected this plan.

Brik cites an American intelligence assessment stating that the organization has restored about 25 percent of its civil and military infrastructure over the past month, and that the apparent calm is part of a strategy to regain strength, not an indication of its neutrality.

The writer warns that military cooperation between Turkey and the new Syrian regime raises the level of threat to Israel.

Brik considers that the presence of Turkish units and affiliated militias inside Syria, security memorandums of understanding, and joint bases like Manbij, along with preparations for supplying weapons and training for the new Syrian army, are turning Syria into a regional conflict arena whose outcomes may be against Israel.

Brik alerts to the length of the Israeli-Jordanian border (about 309 km) and the possibility of it being exploited for the positioning of Iranian-backed terrorist cells, which could enable infiltration attacks and arms smuggling into the West Bank.

He points out that the Egyptian army is training to occupy the State of Israel, as it maintains forces in Sinai that are four times larger than what the peace agreement allows.

He is establishing infrastructure for the Egyptian army to cross over and under the Suez Canal, where discussions revolve around more than a hundred crossings.

He sees that Egypt is leading Arab initiatives to form a joint defense leadership, and that the relationship with Israel has become merely on paper without real substance.

After the blow Iran received in the twelve-day war, Brik believes that the June 2025 strikes inflicted severe damage on Iran's nuclear and missile capabilities.

Nevertheless, Iran continues to rebuild its capabilities: resuming missile tests, developing dual-polarity and maneuverable missiles.

Brik emphasizes the heightened risks of an explosion in Judea and Samaria, relying on interviews with hundreds of Palestinians showing a feeling that "the day is coming."

He notes that the lack of an appropriate civil defense force, such as a broad national guard, makes the interior susceptible to the outbreak of widespread violence.

He warns that continuing down this path could lead to the erosion of national capacity and expose the state to a growing existential threat.