Wed 15 Mar 2023 8:31 pm - Jerusalem Time

What did the Israeli military analysts comment on the Gaza operation?!

Translation by - The Hebrew newspapers issued today, Monday, published many reports and analytical articles by their correspondents and military analysts, on the military operation in the Gaza Strip , which ended yesterday evening with a cease-fire agreement.

Yossi Yehoshua of Yedioth Ahronoth believes that the "Sincere Dawn" operation ended with great success in favor of the Israeli army and the Shin Bet, and that a strong blow was dealt to the Islamic Jihad movement, which came out damaged and muffled without a head, after eliminating the most prominent leaders of its military wing and destroying a large part of its capabilities. And I got out of the fight without any achievement.

And he considered that the assassinations against Tayseer Al-Jabari and Khaled Mansour, one of the most prominent leaders of the Al-Quds Brigades, would have a deterrent effect and strengthen Israel's deterrence in the region, and would frighten Hezbollah leaders in Lebanon and those who followed the operation and understood the depth of the Israeli intelligence capabilities and the accurate attack capabilities of the Israeli army.

He believed that the operation that took place was against what he described as a "weak organization" in the Gaza Strip, as its stock of missiles is limited and of such poor quality that a large number of its missiles landed in Gaza. According to his claim.

He considered that one of the achievements of the operation was the isolation of Gaza from the rest of the regions, in contrast to what happened in the "Guardian of the Walls / Saif al-Quds" in May of last year, when the West Bank remained calm despite the continued arrests, while the day of the "Temple Destruction" in Jerusalem passed. Quietly, despite the Israelis' "entry / storming" of Al-Aqsa, and silence prevailed in the cities of the interior, and no missiles were fired from Lebanon or Syria, despite the tensions with Hezbollah, and everything was calm.

He said: The offensive activity of the Air Force was surgical and accurate, and the technological and intelligence superiority of the Israeli army, in cooperation with the Shin Bet, was very great, and it was refrained from attacking civilian infrastructure. According to his claim.

He pointed out that despite this, Israel will now start preparing for the next round, and in return it will look to Hamas now to introduce additional humanitarian aid and improve more of the situation after it stood aside, and also to consider the demands of the families of the Israeli prisoners who are calling for stopping this aid and linking it. return of their children.

For his part, Amos Harel of the Hebrew newspaper Haaretz believes that the assassination of the leaders of the Islamic Jihad is only a tactical victory, not a strategic one, and that the assumption that the improvement in the economic situation will prompt Hamas to limit the activities of the recent organizations has shown its incorrectness to a large extent.

Harel indicated that the complexity of the negotiations to reach a cease-fire agreement was due to the recent assassination of Mansour, in addition to the Islamic Jihad's search for a difficult achievement, and because the decision-making process was complicated due to the presence of the majority of the movement's political leadership abroad, such as Syria and Iran.

He pointed out that Israel's fears were the fall of more Palestinian civilians, prompting Hamas to intervene, which would have found it difficult to maintain restraint, at a time when there was a consensus on the political and military levels on the need to stop the operation as soon as possible after Israel was surprised by the operational achievements that it made. It achieved it after the assassination of the leaders of the northern and southern sectors of the Islamic Jihad, in addition to the assassination of the commander of the armor unit.

And he considered that the assassinations of senior Jihad leaders indicate a high level of coordination between the Shin Bet, the Israeli army and the Air Force, and even at the level of defensive capabilities by operating the Iron Dome in an impressive way. According to his description.

He said: All of this, of course, reflects tactical successes and not a strategic victory that could have ended in failure, in the event that a Palestinian succeeded in striking the depth, or in an attack near the border fence of Gaza, or the emergence of an international position against Israel, just as Jerusalem, the West Bank and mixed cities are all I stayed calm.

He pointed out that Israel did not expect the sharp reaction from the Islamic Jihad to the arrest of its leader in Jenin, Bassam Al-Saadi, who had previously been arrested 6 times. the border.

He believes that Israel is currently seeking, in the first place, to put pressure on Hamas to exercise more restraint towards the activities of Islamic Jihad in the future, and this seems to be an achievable goal after the last round.

For his part, another military correspondent for Haaretz, Yaniv Kubovich, said that although the Islamic Jihad Movement is the second largest armed force in Gaza, it is still far from Hamas, despite its possession of missile capabilities, anti-tank missiles, drones and limited naval power. However, the damage it sustained during Operation "Black Belt" in 2019, and the "Guardian of the Walls/Saif al-Quds" last year, left it with limited capabilities. Nevertheless, an Israeli security source believes that the organization is still able to engage in combat rounds that last for several days and disrupt the lives of the Israelites.

Cobowicz points out that until the "Black Belt" operation, which began with the assassination of the leader of the Jihad, Bahaa Abu al-Atta, the movement had a large group of about 8,000 missiles, including short- and medium-range, and a few long-range ones, and the organization's elements amounted to 9,000 recruits. Of them 6 thousand fighters.

During that operation, the Israeli army bombed the Jihad missile production sites and infrastructure, killing 26 of its members, and suffered another blow during the "Guardian of the Walls / Sword of Jerusalem". On the eve of the last operation, the organization had about 5 thousand missiles, most of them short-range, and a limited number of up to 40 kilometers, and a marginal number of long-range missiles. as he says.

He added: With the end of the "Black Belt" operation, the Islamic Jihad made great efforts to restore its military strength, but first it had to suffice with its production of missiles inside the Strip, using limited resources with occasional damage to the organization's infrastructure by the Israeli army, and then the jihad later turned to Producing weapons in Syria under the guidance and support of Iran and Hezbollah, and in February 2020, the Israeli army attacked Jihad targets in Syria and Gaza to prevent the movement from intensifying and strengthening its capabilities.

He pointed out that the Islamic Jihad movement has recently been trying to strengthen its presence in the West Bank in the hope that this will affect its presence in Gaza, and that is why it succeeded in forming cells in Jenin and Nablus that carry out shooting operations, and the Israeli army carried out operations against it, killing some of them and arresting a number of others.

He points out that the Israeli security establishment considers that the assassination of al-Ja’bari and Mansour caused great damage to the Islamic Jihad, and that young figures are expected to assume key positions at the top of the organization who are not linked to the political leadership of the jihad in Lebanon and Syria, and it is expected that Tehran will continue to finance Islamic Jihad to arm itself. And pay the salaries of its members, while Hamas will try not to allow jihad to challenge it in Gaza. According to him.

For his part, Tal Lev Ram of the Maariv newspaper says that the achievements of the operation were "impressive", and that the Islamic Jihad movement suffered great operational damage, and that there was a consensus on the security and political level on the objectives of the operation and they were fully achieved.

He added: Israel is not interested in allowing the Islamic Jihad to establish a new reality in which it tries to impose an equation linking the activity of routine operations against the organization's activists in the West Bank, with the Gaza arena and harming the lives of the residents of the border.

He stressed the need to put the achievements that have been achieved in context, given that the capabilities of the Islamic Jihad movement are not like Hamas and Hezbollah, and that Hamas's failure to enter the confrontation was a decision not because of deterrence from Operation "Guardian of the Walls / Sword of Jerusalem", but because of the logic that the confrontation is with Israel now. It does not serve its interests, and its desire to regain its lost military capabilities. Nevertheless, Hamas represents a greater challenge than Islamic Jihad, and the success rate of Iron Dome in a campaign against Hamas will be less than the unprecedented number achieved in the current round.


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What did the Israeli military analysts comment on the Gaza operation?!