Since May 17, intensive negotiations have been underway without preconditions, facilitated by Egyptian and Qatari mediators, with direct intervention from the US administration via its Middle East envoy, Steve Witkoff. This round of negotiations in Doha is expected to result in an agreement halting the war of extermination in the Gaza Strip, the withdrawal of the Israeli occupation army, the entry of aid, and the commencement of reconstruction.
There are estimates indicating the possibility of achieving these results during this round of negotiations, despite the Israeli army's announcement of the launch of a large-scale military operation dubbed "Operation Gideon." The aim is to pressure the displacement plan and reach a partial deal that guarantees political gains for Netanyahu, while silencing the foreign and domestic voices calling for a comprehensive deal that would halt the war and release Israeli prisoners in the Gaza Strip.
Although Hamas has announced that the phase of partial deals has ended and that the movement's demands have not changed, most notably the cessation of aggression, the withdrawal of the Israeli army, and reconstruction, it is noted that the negotiations are proceeding with a partial deal proposal that includes the release of 10 living Israeli prisoners at once. The day after the deal, half the bodies of the dead Israeli prisoners will be handed over. In return, the Israelis will release 100 Palestinian prisoners with long sentences, in addition to 1,000 prisoners with ordinary sentences. A ceasefire will be implemented for a period of 60 to 90 days, and the immediate entry of humanitarian aid into all areas of the Gaza Strip, starting from the moment the agreement is announced. At this stage, the Israelis agree to withdraw from the areas occupied during what was called Operation "Courage and Sword," with Israeli occupation forces remaining in the Philadelphi corridor and the Netzarim area. During the ceasefire period, negotiations will continue regarding a permanent end to the war and the issue of the resistance's weapons, amidst Israel's prior refusal to provide any guarantees that it will not return to war. This requires international and American guarantees regarding ending the war.
The current deal negotiations are hampered by the divisions within Israeli society, within the government, and within the ranks of the army. Despite announcing the expansion of the military operation in the Gaza Strip, the army is demanding that the political echelon expedite a deal that will release the Israeli prisoners and give the army a chance to confront the significant erosion in its human and moral capabilities. This is in addition to the internal challenges in terms of equipment, plans, and the psychological makeup of the soldiers. Within the army, there is an assessment among senior officers that expanding military operations in the Gaza Strip will not lead to the release of the Israeli prisoners or the defeat of the resistance, but rather to further losses, loss of direction, and failure to achieve objectives.
From here, it can be said that the current proposal is moving toward implementation and may pave the way for a comprehensive deal that includes a permanent ceasefire and a partial lifting of the blockade. However, caution remains due to Netanyahu's constant efforts to thwart this proposal by imposing additional conditions. However, the likelihood of success in this round is high and depends on the US administration's directions, and the coming hours and days are more than decisive in this regard.
شارك برأيك
Final terms of the exchange deal, the truce, and the decisive hours