Settlement... Can a closed file be reopened?

Every conflict issue, no matter how big it is, even if it reaches a state of large-scale conventional war, finds with its outbreak someone to intervene to stop it and find political solutions for it.

Even the Russian-Ukrainian war, whose highly flammable fire touches the limits of the nuclear threat, and which is a global war with direct participation in it and direct impact on its storms, found from its inception those who invest in proposing solutions to it, even if that seems impossible, for this is the law that governs the relationship of states to wars. .

The issue of conflict, which has produced wars and settlements, but is still continuing until it was described as chronic, is the Palestinian issue, which applies to it and the efforts that are being made to solve it, the saying; As soon as it takes one step forward, it takes two steps back, and once its fires are extinguished for a season or for several seasons, the fire resumes, multiplying in a way that makes it impossible to extinguish it.

And if we look at all the conflict issues that have produced wars, we will find that the Palestinian cause is the most serious effort to solve it, but it failed, and the last of which was when the whole universe agreed to solve it, starting from Madrid, passing through Oslo, and not ending with Camp David, despite Not only did the global attempt fail, but it returned the conflict to a fiercer and more complex state than it was in all its previous eras.

And now, while the whole world is preoccupied with the Ukrainian-Russian war, and the small wars scattered around it in the Middle East (Israel, Palestine, Lebanon, Syria, and others), there is no room left to address the chronic “Palestinian” issue, except through narrow and side margins, that might put out a fire. For several days, however, it does not prevent a wider fire.

The failure of global attempts to solve this issue generated an implicitly agreed-upon international desperation to close the political solution file with an agreed-upon reliance on relieving the permanent state of tension, through partial arrangements that take the form of a temporary calm, i.e. removing the detonator from the bomb for days, weeks, or even months, no more.

In the course of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict, the law of state rule emerged, which is whenever the political file continues to be closed... files of mutual violence open up, because everything that happens between the two parties is governed by the "bomb and detonator" theory. How close their combination is to causing an explosion, and here is the case in Gaza and the West Bank confirming this. There is siege and war in Gaza, and in the West Bank, occupation, settlement and resistance... And between the two arenas the ball of fire moves.

The closed file... and the case of the "detonator and the bomb", their action is not limited to the narrow strip, where the geography of Palestine and Israel is. Rather, it extends to the wider ocean. Here, Israel warns of many fronts, active and latent. In the absence of opening the political file, pouring fuel on the fire is the always ready alternative.

The contractor to whom the solution process between Palestine and Israel was entrusted is the American. Who is currently frozen between a lack of desire and a lack of initiative, and in this case he has his own explanations and justifications, until he became a dilemma parallel to the original dilemma, and this produced what we are in now, “a wildfire waiting for a match to ignite.”

And the question; Is there really an impossibility to open the political file to the point of despair, or does necessity dictate opening it at the time when files were opened that were more difficult and dangerous, and then they are heading towards a solution? Objective observers see an opportunity, produced by the conciliatory developments that have accelerated in the region, in terms of effective cooling of the boiling boilers, in terms of the Arab consensus that was established at the Jeddah Summit on the Saudi-Arab-Islamic initiative for peace.

The only impediment to opening the political file is the American adaptation to Israel's unwillingness to accept the idea of ​​a political settlement with the Palestinians, as it moves forward in turning over the cards of violence and conflagration and squeezing time to impose a permanent fait accompli, in which a political settlement would be impossible.

And if the American adaptation led to the closure that led to it, reaching the point of despair, then what the region needs, and what the American interest is supposed to need, requires America in particular to leave the region of wavering between lack of desire and lack of initiative, to cooperate with the countries of the region in the only matter that is unanimously agreed upon. , which is the Arab peace initiative.

Opening the closed file has become necessary, not for the sake of the Palestinians and the Arabs, but for the sake of the region and its stability.