Hebrew Analysis: Israel Faces a 'Bitter Victory'.. Military Success in Iran and Strategic Erosion in Washington

Israel has recently been experiencing a state of existential contradiction that places it at the most complex turning point since 1948. While the military and intelligence establishment records 'stunning' successes in undermining the pillars of the Iranian regime, a parallel path emerges that threatens the collapse of the fundamental pillar of Israeli national security: the strategic alliance with the United States of America.

On the ground, the strikes targeting Iranian nuclear facilities and the infrastructure of the Revolutionary Guard are no longer mere tactical operations; they have transformed into an earthquake shaking the foundations of governance in Tehran. Intelligence estimates indicate that the scenario of regime collapse is no longer just a wish for the opposition but has become a realistic plan of action, which could remove the direct existential threat to Israel and change the face of the entire region.

In contrast, alarming voices are emerging from the heart of the American mainstream, specifically from the conservative right wing, which has historically been considered Israel's strongest ally. Conservative influencer Tucker Carlson is leading a discourse described by observers as 'toxic,' promoting the idea that the current war is a private Israeli affair that drains American interests, which reinforces isolationist tendencies within the Republican Party under the slogan 'America First.'

This erosion of bipartisan support within Washington presents the Israeli leadership with the dilemma of 'a victory that costs survival.' Achieving decisive military superiority in the East may mean nothing if it is accompanied by the loss of Western public opinion and the cutting off of arms supplies and diplomatic cover in the Security Council, which necessitates realizing that the battle for American consciousness is no less important than the squadrons of planes heading towards Tehran.

The intertwining of military and diplomatic paths leads us to a dangerous strategic scenario: a victory akin to defeat.