The Year of the Armada

The least that can be said is that while the United States pushes its naval assets in the largest military campaign in the region, in parallel with granting deadlines for what are called "last chance" negotiations to avoid the use of those assets, which cannot be withdrawn without achieving results commensurate with the justifications for their raging presence in the Arabian Sea, the probabilities of war are equal to the chances of avoiding it, and no one can predict the outcomes and destinies if the spark ignites in a region where everything is flammable.Between deterrence and containment, and between the stick and the carrot, the tense American-Iranian relationship has remained stagnant for decades, until the time came to resolve it, after the ideological state approached placing its feet on the nuclear threshold, which ignited more than one red light in Washington, Tel Aviv, and European capitals, which see Tehran's pursuit of reaching the nuclear threshold as a blow to the regional and international balances that are forming today in a world without rules.On the lines of oil, gas, and mineral resources, the current battle rages between the United States and Israel on one hand, and Iran on the other, to which Netanyahu adds the Sunni and Shiite axis, as he likes to call it, to justify the wolf's religious war that he wages with support from the United States, as became clear from Huckabee's statements, who believes that Israel has a biblical right to control from the Nile to the Euphrates.The war on Iran is nothing but an attempt to strike under the "Belt and Road," as Tehran is considered a strategic partner for China in the energy war, which Trump seeks to assert his control over, and dictate his prices to everyone, as he did with Europe, which he demanded to stop buying Russian oil and replace it with American oil, at the price he determines, which pushed both London and Paris towards Beijing, to free themselves from the dictatorship of prices imposed by the businessman of deals.Trump, who pushed his "Armada" to the brink of the abyss, finds himself today caught in the trap of surplus power and the impulses of arrogance that possess him; his withdrawal is political suicide, and his stay is financial depletion, and if war breaks out, it will be a leap into the unknown.From annihilation to the "Armada," the features of American-Israeli policy emerge, aimed at extending control and imposing hegemony over the region's and the world's resources with "peace through strength."Fleets, no matter how great, remain alien to the seas inhabited by the rightful owners, and the "Year of the Armada" may end in a way that neither Trump's ships nor Netanyahu's dreams desire.