Failure of American and Israeli Bets: How Did Tehran Withstand Calculations of Rapid Collapse?

The calculations upon which the Israeli entity and its American ally based their recent joint aggression against Iran are facing a real predicament, as signs of failure have begun to emerge despite media coverage attempts. Targeting senior political leaders in a sovereign state not only constitutes a violation of international norms but also reflects a losing bet that the assassination of the leadership pyramid would inevitably lead to the rapid collapse of the state from within.

Political assessments in Washington and Tel Aviv had predicted a complete collapse of the Iranian regime within four days to a maximum of one week, but reality imposed entirely different facts. Today, with the passage of time, the political discourse has shifted from talking about days to weeks and indefinite periods, revealing the extent of the inability to achieve the swift objectives desired from this military adventure.

Voices within the American political elite, including members of the Senate, are rising to condemn what they described as repeated lies about the 'imminent Iranian threat.' These individuals liken the current pretexts to those used by Colin Powell for the invasion of Iraq, pointing out that Trump's slogan 'America First' has practically turned into 'Israel First' at the expense of American national interests.

The violent and unexpected Iranian response came as a shock to decision-making circles, as strikes targeted American bases in the Gulf region and vital targets within the Israeli entity. This escalation, which was not calculated to this extent, proved that the deterrence model that the entity believed it had paralyzed since the events of June 2025, still possesses effectiveness and the ability to turn the tables.

In light of this military failure, hostile intelligence agencies are seeking to stir up sectarian strife to drag regional countries into an 'Abrahamic' alliance directed entirely against Tehran. The attempt to strike at the societal components in the Middle East aims to compensate for the failure to destroy Iranian infrastructure, which represents the last resort for a project seeking to reshape the region according to the Zionist vision.

Iranian steadfastness, despite severe economic losses and infrastructure destruction, remains a stumbling block to the ambitions of the White House and Tel Aviv. The continued functioning of the regime consecrates a political and strategic defeat for the aggressors and places Iran's neighbors before the responsibility to curb this aggression and prevent the region from being drawn into a comprehensive conflict that serves only colonial powers.

The mere continued existence of the Iranian regime after these strikes represents a resounding defeat for the White House and Tel Aviv, regardless of the extent of economic devastation.