Tensions escalate in the Gulf as Trump's deadline to end the war on Iran begins to count down

The military confrontation led by the United States and Israel against Iran entered its sixth week, amidst intense anticipation as the countdown began for the deadline set by US President Donald Trump. Sources reported that the military strategy, which relied on the principle of 'shock and awe' and targeting senior command centers to cause political paralysis, did not lead to the expected collapse of the Iranian regime's structure. Instead, it revealed unexpected internal cohesion despite living and political pressures.

On the ground, bets on mobilizing separatist groups in Kurdish areas to open land breaches across the borders failed, leaving the fronts in a state of military stalemate. This impasse prompted decision-making circles in Washington to consider dangerous escalatory options, including the possibility of using tactical nuclear or chemical weapons to break Iranian defensive lines, which raises international concern about the region sliding into an unprecedented catastrophe.

Economically and navigationally, Tehran continues to impose strict restrictions on navigation in the Strait of Hormuz, exempting only ships belonging to China and India, in a move aimed at pressuring the global economy. In a related context, demands emerged from Iranian Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei and Mohsen Rezaei for comprehensive financial compensation and a complete lifting of sanctions as a prerequisite for halting hostilities, while Doha demanded that Tehran bear its legal responsibilities for the damages resulting from the conflict.

The repercussions of the war were not limited to the Gulf but extended to affect global and regional markets, with gold prices in Egypt reaching record levels, with 21-carat gold reaching 7150 pounds. In contrast, major powers such as China began to fortify their energy security by boosting reserves and relying on local resources, in anticipation of a prolonged conflict that now threatens the stability of global supply chains.

The American-Israeli strategy, which relied on the 'shock operation' and targeting the top of the leadership pyramid, has not yet succeeded in achieving its desired political goals.