Iranian military advisor expects end of confrontation before 'Nowruz' amid new wave of missiles

Rahim Safavi, military advisor to the Iranian Supreme Leader, predicted that the ongoing military confrontation would end before Nowruz, which marks the beginning of the new Iranian year in about ten days. Safavi explained that this assessment is based on a field reading indicating a relative decline in the pace of exchanged strikes between the parties involved in the conflict over the past few days.

Meanwhile, media sources in Tehran reported the launch of a third wave of Iranian missile attacks, targeting sites described as strategic. The sources stated that these strikes coincided with the launch of other missile barrages directed towards US military bases and vital targets deep within Israeli territory, in a remarkable field escalation.

Despite the absence of a detailed official statement specifying the nature of the losses, initial estimates indicate that the attacks targeted radar systems and sensitive military installations. This wave comes as part of a series of successive operations through which Tehran seeks to respond to the targeting of its facilities, confirming the entry of new sites into the direct confrontation circle.

In parallel with the military operations, Iranian media published detailed images and data of economic and military facilities inside Israel, in addition to sites in the Gulf region. This step aims to convey a political and military message that the Iranian target bank is expanding to include vital centers capable of influencing the economic and security balance of power in the region.

Tehran accuses the US administration of working to expand the scope of military operations to include infrastructure and vital facilities within Iranian territory. Political circles in Iran believe that this American approach aims to double the economic pressures on the country, which is already suffering from the consequences of severe international sanctions that have been ongoing for years.

The question remains about the realism of Safavi's predictions of an imminent end to the war, given the continued exchange of missile barrages and ongoing military buildup. While Tehran speaks of a decline in pace, on-the-ground data indicates that the confrontation may take new forms of a war of attrition targeting the economic and military nerve of all parties.

Our estimates indicate the possibility of ending the war before Nowruz, given the noticeable recent decline in the intensity of mutual military operations.