Decisive Days Ahead

Overall expectations indicate that yesterday's negotiations, Thursday, will be decisive and fateful, and the outcome of these negotiations will determine President Trump's stance. The options available if negotiations fail include a naval and aerial blockade, or a limited, focused strike targeting vital military and security objectives to subjugate Iran to American demands, or multiple strikes initiated by the United States and lasting several days to weaken the regime in preparation for its overthrow in the near future. Israel would enter the battle if it were subjected to bombardment by Iran.

Unofficial Israeli intelligence analyses suggest that a strike is inevitable and will be limited. However, what will determine everything after the strike is the Iranian response. If the Iranian response is as declared by Iranian military, security, and political leaders, then the region as a whole is heading towards a comprehensive regional war. But if the response is limited and far from Israel, the repercussions will not be significant, yet at the same time, this will not lead to a comprehensive change in positions, especially Iranian ones.

Meanwhile, unofficial Russian intelligence analyses suggest that what is happening is part of the pressure exerted by the United States against Iran to obtain the maximum possible concessions, and that no strike is coming in the near future.

Despite its complexities and President Trump's hesitation, the reality indicates that the true intentions, given the nature of the American military buildup, are heading to extremes, for several reasons, the most important of which are:

First - President Trump champions peace through strength, meaning subjugating countries to the Trumpian will and vision. Therefore, he is not seeking negotiations but rather Iran's submission to American conditions. All ongoing negotiations aim to justify the upcoming attack on Iran, and to claim that all diplomatic avenues have been exhausted to avoid war, in addition to gaining time for the military buildup, which was completed with the arrival of the largest American aircraft carrier, the "Gerald Ford."

Second - The Americans cannot accept any agreement that is limited in time or temporary, or resembles the Obama 2015 agreement. That is, what is required is a permanent agreement that allows President Trump to declare victory and that he has subjugated Iran. This permanent agreement would lead to the dismantling of the nuclear program in one way or another, and Iran would also agree to negotiate afterward on its ballistic missile capabilities and its relations with its allies.

Third - Any possible or probable agreement will clearly feature Israel, and this complicates reaching any agreement, as Israeli pressures are pushing the Trump administration to be tough in order to achieve a clear and unambiguous accomplishment.

Fourth - The flexible Iranian stance, willing to go to limits it has not reached before, cannot align with what President Trump wants, because what is required is Iran's surrender, or as Trump says, either you agree or we go the bad way.

Fifth - Israel, the central factor in the American-Iranian negotiations, will never accept any agreement according to the Iranian vision, meaning, as Netanyahu said, "We want a sustainable agreement, an agreement forever," and this was echoed by the American Jewish envoy and negotiator "Steve Witkoff."

Therefore, all ongoing diplomacy, called negotiations, has nothing to do with reality. What is required is not Iranian flexibility, nor concessions here and there. It is unequivocally clear that what is required is Iran's complete surrender to Zionist-American demands, and this confirms that the drums of war are drowning out everything else.

In a public opinion poll in Israel conducted by the "Israeli National Security Research Center" on February 25, approximately 51% of respondents stated that they support a unilateral strike by Israel against Iran. This alone indicates the true reality regarding the view of Iran, as does the statement by American Democratic Senator "Chuck Schumer," the minority leader in the US Congress, after a briefing from the CIA director, who said: "Look, the matter is serious... Trump must explain this to the American people," meaning we are facing an inevitable theater of war.

Previously, we said that the American-Israeli plan in the region was settled in the meeting between President Trump and Netanyahu a month ago at the "Mar-a-Lago" resort in Palm Beach outside Miami, where it was agreed to resolve the region's issues so that they would be completely subjugated to American interests, and transformed into an American lake with Israeli influence and captaincy to maintain its security, and this is not possible without subjugating Iran.

It is true that American Trump is somewhat hesitant, as the media suggests, and it is true that there is internal American division regarding resorting to the military option, but I personally do not see President Trump as hesitant. Rather, it seems to me that he is heading to war with Iran because he sees the matter from a personal perspective first, and he sees America's greatness in subjugating other countries to American will to plunder their wealth, as happened in Venezuela where he boasted in his "State of the Union" address about America obtaining 80 million barrels of oil, in addition to seeing himself as a messenger from God "Yahweh" sent to protect his chosen people, and this was clearly mentioned in the US National Security Strategy "Protecting Israel's Security," and this is not possible without subjugating Iran.

Anyone who hears President Trump's "State of the Union" address will understand that this man sees no one and understands only one language, the language of wrestling, of which he was and still is a fan. It's either victory or making a deal that leads to his victory, meaning he does not think of losing; in fact, this term does not exist in his vocabulary. That is why he carried out all this military buildup, or as he called it, the "beautiful fleet."

So the choices have become clear: honor and dignity or submission, because a man with President Trump's mentality does not understand the language of respect. The published "Epstein" files are enough to illustrate how he thinks: no morals, no honor. They only understand the language of force, the language of steadfastness, and the language of attrition.

The confrontation is imposed on Iran and its allies, and the conclusion of the battles initiated by the "Flood" will be determined by the upcoming battle. It will either be an end to the war and a move towards stability in the region by putting an end to arrogance, genocide, and ethnic cleansing, or entering into wars of attrition that will affect the entire region, and may even extend much further. As for submission to the Zionist-American agenda, that means losing everything for decades.

Decisive days are coming, carrying within them all hope for a Ramadan dawn filled with pride and dignity for every people who say, "Far be it from us to be humiliated."