Geopolitical Alliance Redraws the Maps of the New Middle East

Since the fall of Saddam Hussein and the overthrow of his rule, Iraq entered into widespread chaos, then the arena transformed into an ethnic and sectarian conflict, especially with the emergence of ISIS, which began killing, slaughtering, and excluding the 'other' different, exemplified by the bloody events in Mosul against the Christians of Mosul. Afterwards, some of them migrated to Iraqi Kurdistan, where they live under a moderate system that protects all different minorities to this day. Then Iraq entered a sectarian war that established a rift between the Sunni and Shia components, leading to a religious, ethnic, and power struggle between them, which was resolved by sectarian power-sharing in Iraq: Kurds for the presidency of the Iraqi Republic, Shias for the prime ministership, and Sunnis for the parliament speakership. Amidst all these developments that swept the Arab East, and specifically the emergence of ISIS, it laid the foundation for the emergence of an extremist faction in Arab countries that does not accept the 'other' different and excommunicates them, as well as killing the moderate Sunni component that does not align with their extremist principles. Of course, the emergence of the Iranian-backed Shia axis of resistance in the region, represented by the Houthis, Lebanese, Syrian, and Iraqi Hezbollah, and its armed militias loyal to Iran and logistically and economically supported, resulted in an armed Shia axis backed by Iran, parallel to an extremist Sunni axis represented by ISIS and its dormant cells present in several Arab countries, especially in the Arab East, i.e., the Levant previously. Of course, there are several Arab countries like the Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan and the Hashemite rule, which govern with wise, moderate Islam, with its legislation, justice, and respect for the rights of different religious and ethnic components present in one nation, united in a strong and cohesive national unity supported by Hashemite royal initiatives that promote acceptance of the 'other' different and reject hatred and extremism, exemplified by the Amman Message launched by King Abdullah II bin Al-Hussein, may God protect him, in 2004 from the capital Amman. His Majesty also launched the World Interfaith Harmony Week initiative in 2010, which was officially announced to be celebrated every first week of February each year globally (World Interfaith Harmony Week). Politically, in the Arab East region, there are countries considered part of the moderate Sunni axis, such as Jordan and Egypt, and there are other countries currently representing the Shia axis of armed resistance, such as Assad's Syria previously and Iraq currently, and its Iranian-backed militias. The current political phase is characterized by the reduction of the power of the armed Shia axis, as this axis, represented by Lebanese Hezbollah, has been struck. The Lebanese army and the current government, represented by President Joseph Aoun, are seeking to confine weapons to the army and the state and restore its sovereignty over all Lebanese territories, not to mention the harsh blows the party received from Israel, represented by Operation Pager, and recently the strikes and bombing on southern Lebanon. Parallel to these goals, Iraq is also entering a phase of reducing the influence of Iranian-backed Iraqi militias, which are dismantling the sovereignty of the Iraqi state at all political and economic levels and dominating Iraqi oil resources and banks. This is parallel to the internal Iranian crisis and the demonstrations that started from the elite bazaar merchants in several Iranian cities since the beginning of this year 2026 and its ongoing crisis to this day, and recently the renewed momentum of demonstrations, especially from the youth generation around Iranian universities, also breaking the barrier of fear and using their mobile phones to film the events of the demonstrations for the world. Not to mention the American threats to militarily strike Iran, parallel to the intensification of American military buildups and fleets in the region, as well as multiple internal explosions and fires in several Iranian cities and some different schisms in the political and military structure of the Iranian state. All these indicators lead to only one conclusion: the weakening of the Shia axis in the Arab region, which will completely collapse parallel to the fall of the Mullahs' regime in Iran, which will inevitably affect its arms in the region, specifically Iraq, which is also on the verge of explosion, with the presence of ISIS elements who have flocked from Syria and the exacerbated political deadlock in forming a new government and America's refusal to form any government loyal to Iranian-Iraqi factions. All this warns of an explosion of the Iraqi situation internally and the escalation of conflicts into an internal war between ISIS and Iraqi factions, and all developments on the ground warn of this. Also on the Syrian border, where there have been Syrian army buildups throughout the past 72 hours, specifically near the Wadi Khaled area and in several border Syrian villages in the western Homs countryside, and all this also warns of an explosion in the border area between Syria and Lebanon (where the American embassy has asked its citizens to leave Lebanon). All these movements warn of an armed conflict between Hezbollah and the Syrian army and an explosion at any time. Amidst all these political and military developments in the Arab East and Iran, especially the Shia axis that is gradually collapsing day by day, and the repositioning and presence of ISIS in northern Syria and also in Iraq, where recently we observe, especially from Israeli statements, the current endeavor to form a regional alliance that will include moderate Sunni countries, parallel against the two existing extremist axes in the Middle East, i.e., the Shia axis that is on the verge of collapse at any time and the extremist Sunni axis represented by ISIS and similar groups. This alliance, supported by Israel and the United States of America, aims to reshape the new map of the Middle East, consisting of reshaping new alliances that draw new maps of influence in the Arab East region, and creating a Sunni axis for a new moderate rule to become a cornerstone and a pillar of governance in the region for a new strategic alliance (without any extremist religious parties in sight), and its ultimate goal is to create a new Middle East rich in new alliances that will confront any Iranian influence in the region and strive to achieve a new Middle East characterized by stability, peace, and strong new economic alliances, and to impose a new security reality that will inevitably dismantle and fragment old traditional alliances and will radically change the political approach and establish a new economically strong and securely stable Middle East. This desired alliance will include countries in the region and African countries, India, Greece, and Cyprus, where they will unite in security, political, and economic partnerships to confront any radical extremist axes and create a strong alliance that draws new maps of influence, which will translate into economic projects and new anti-Chinese railway links, different from the Chinese Silk Road to revive the ancient Chinese Silk Road. This desired alliance will seek to reduce the influence of BRICS and its alliance with China and Russia and create a strong new alliance with India, economically and politically. The next phase is full of developments in the map of wars and successive explosions, especially in the Iranian scene and the endeavor to overthrow the Mullahs' regime and Reza Pahlavi taking power for the transitional phase in Iran and his joining the new axis, represented by his first step of signing a peace agreement with Israel and replacing the old Iran of the axis of wars with Israel and the Arab East with peace and new economic alliances for the new Iran under the Shah's rule, and ultimately completely eliminating the extremist Shia and extremist Sunni axes in the region. I believe that there is no economic or political stability in the region with the presence of ethnic and sectarian wars and extremism represented by extremist militias in our Arab East. The coming days are pregnant with explosions and developments at all levels, which will ultimately create a new, safe, and stable Middle East characterized by prosperity and economic exchange between the axis of new alliances that will shape the future of the new Middle East.