Gaza and the US elections

The US presidential election is approaching, and the war on Gaza and Lebanon is not over.

Will Gaza affect the election results?

American election experts divide the electorate along several lines, including age, culture, ethnicity, economic level, and urban area.

I will review these views in relation to Gaza.

In terms of age, there has been a significant development among the youth in terms of their interest in global political situations. They mostly vote for the Democratic Party, but in a poll conducted by the Pew Research Center last February, it was stated that 33% of American adults under the age of 30 sympathize more with the Palestinians. Accordingly, and in light of the positions taken by the Arab communities (especially the Palestinians) regarding the elections, a large portion of the youth will not vote for the Democrats. This is a setback for Kamala Harris. In addition, 65% of university students supported the demonstrations that took place against the war on Gaza and they certainly resent the Democratic government because of its continued support for Israel.

In terms of culture, intellectuals and artists are also considered part of the Democratic Party. If we observe the positions of intellectuals in the last year of the war on Gaza, we notice that they are pro-Palestinians, for example: Democratic Senator Bernie Sanders, youth activist Jackson Henkel, third presidential candidate Jill Stein, Democratic Senator Chris Murphy, Senator Peter Welch, writer Naomi Klein, philosopher Noam Chomsky, and a number of other thinkers, writers and representatives in Congress such as Rashida Tlaib, Ilhan Omar, Dalida Ramirez, Jerry Nadler and a large number of artists and journalists such as singer Macklemore, all of whom voted for Biden 4 years ago and will not be on Harris' side this week because of the Democratic Party's position on the war on Gaza.

In terms of ethnic origins, Democrats usually attract Americans of Arab and Muslim origins, who number about 6 and a half million, in addition to voters from third world countries and of Latin origin. A very large portion of these will not vote for Harris, even though they elected Biden 4 years ago.

As for the economic and urban level, these are Republican Party supporters and will remain so.

If we remember that Biden defeated Trump by a small number of votes (about 7 million votes), we will know the impact of the great shift that will occur this year. Kamala Harris is expected to fail due to the boycott of intellectuals, youth, students, Arabs and Muslims, who will boycott the elections or give their votes to candidate Jill Stein in order to strengthen the idea of the third pole in the upcoming elections.